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2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns -12 (69-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shane Southwell * 36 4-9 3-5 0-0 6 6 0 0 2 11 12 -
Rodney McGruder * 36 7-13 1-3 5-5 6 0 2 0 1 20 14 -
Angel Rodriguez * 27 3-8 2-5 8-8 2 6 1 0 3 16 14 -
Will Spradling * 23 2-4 2-3 2-3 1 3 1 1 1 8 9 -
Jordan Henriquez * 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 6 9 -
Martavious Irving 25 1-5 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
Thomas Gipson 18 5-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
Omari Lawrence 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 0 6 -
Nino Williams 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D.J. Johnson 5 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myck Kabongo * 36 8-12 2-4 6-10 6 2 0 0 3 24 17 -
Ioannis Papapetrou * 26 3-9 1-5 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
Connor Lammert * 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
Jonathan Holmes * 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
S. Mac 28 7-10 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 0 2 15 9 -
Demarcus Holland 24 2-5 0-1 2-3 0 1 0 2 2 6 2 -
Jaylen Bond 15 1-2 0-0 4-6 5 0 1 0 1 6 9 -
Javan Felix 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
Prince Ibeh 13 0-0 0-0 2-7 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
Julien Lewis 9 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter