Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 26 | - |
| R. Howell * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 32 | - |
| S. Wood * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Warren * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | - |
| R. Purvis | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Lewis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Reggie Bullock * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 38 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 28 | - |
| P.J. Hairston * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brice Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luke Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Frank Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Manor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Denzel Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wade Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter