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2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Margin 67.9% 32.1% -4.1 โœ“ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 69.0% 31.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.8% 19.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - โœ“

Actual: American University Eagles -14 (58-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ellis * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 15 18 -
K. Wilson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 14 20 -
K. Toth * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 11 13 -
D. Cox * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 6 11 -
K. Ferguson * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 4 11 -
J. Springer 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 10 -
L. Toomey 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 4 11 -
M. Lenox 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 4 -
J. Herbeck 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 12 16 -
A. Stire 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Kincade 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Gramling 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Plomb 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniel Munoz * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 8 0 0 2 8 16 -
Stephen Lumpkins * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 4 10 15 -
Blake Jolivette * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 9 11 -
Mike Bersch * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 9 9 -
Warren Flood * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
John Schoof 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 9 14 -
Tony Wroblicky 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 7 15 -
Austin Carroll 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Jesse Reed 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
Kyle Kager 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Daniel Fisher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter