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2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 72.6% 27.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“
Margin 68.5% 31.5% -4.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.9% 38.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Chambers * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 3 0 1 14 24 -
W. Saunders * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 5 14 18 -
L. Rivard * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 13 18 -
C. Webster * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 10 11 -
K. Smith * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 4 10 -
S. Moundou-Missi 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 17 25 -
J. Travis 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Townsend * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 15 21 -
Austin Morgan * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 7 9 -
Javier Duren * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 1 2 15 20 -
Armani Cotton * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 6 12 -
Greg Kelley * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Justin Sears 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 12 11 -
Nick Victor 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 4 11 -
Michael Grace 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
Brandon Sherrod 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 7 -
Sam Martin 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter