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2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% +11.7 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.4 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (88-75). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Story 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 33 33 -
Deonte Burton 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 10 0 0 4 12 20 -
Jordan Burris 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 6 13 -
Jerry Evans, Jr. 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 16 18 -
Cole Huff 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Devonte Elliott 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
Marqueze Coleman 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Kevin Panzer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
C. Fall 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamaal Franklin 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 5 1 1 1 23 41 -
Chase Tapley 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 17 21 -
J.J. O'Brien 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 7 1 1 2 14 27 -
Xavier Thames 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 10 12 -
Deshawn Stephens 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 10 12 -
Winston Shepard 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 14 18 -
Skylar Spencer 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 4 0 0 8 -
D. Polee II 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter