Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Story | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 33 | - |
| D. Burton | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 20 | - |
| J. Burris | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| C. Huff | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Elliott | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Coleman | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Panzer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Fall | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 41 | - |
| C. Tapley | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 27 | - |
| X. Thames | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Stephens | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| W. Shepard | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| S. Spencer | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| D. Polee II | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter