Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Newbill * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| R. Travis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| N. Colella * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Taylor | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Graham | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Montminy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wisniewski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Maduegbunam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| B. Paul * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| S. McLaurin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Abrams | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Griffey | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Henry | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter