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2013-02-21

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% - โœ—
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.5 โœ— (27.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -26 (68-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevis Simpson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 10 19 -
David Williams * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 10 17 -
Kayel Locke * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 10 -
Jordan Potts * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 6 10 -
Derrell Armstrong * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 7 13 -
Korey VanDussen 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 11 17 -
Drew Parker 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 7 0 0 1 6 12 -
Nicholas Paulos 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 30 36 -
Kelvin McNeil 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 1 0 10 22 -
Brian Cole 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Tyler McNeely 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Mason * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 21 28 -
G. McGhee * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 13 19 -
R. White * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 3 12 19 -
D. Zlovaric * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 5 7 -
L. Stokes * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 3 -
C. Jones 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 3 9 -
A. Bran 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 11 -
E. Robertson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Bareika 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Bryant 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Watson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter