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2013-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 5.1% 94.9% -
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Parker * 39 7-12 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 14 5 -
C. Wright * 38 4-12 2-9 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 10 2 -
S. Kilpatrick * 34 6-16 3-8 3-4 7 0 0 0 2 18 7 -
J. Jackson * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 4 3 -
D. Nyarsuk * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
C. Mbodj 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 4 0 4 9 -
T. Rubles 21 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
J. Sanders 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Guyn 11 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 0 -
S. Thomas 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
K. Gaines 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Napier * 45 7-14 6-9 7-8 2 3 1 0 4 27 15 -
R. Boatright * 43 3-12 1-5 2-2 1 5 1 0 1 9 3 -
O. Calhoun * 38 2-3 0-0 6-9 6 1 2 0 0 10 16 -
D. Daniels * 37 6-10 3-4 2-3 5 0 1 4 1 17 16 -
T. Olander * 32 1-6 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 4 3 -
N. Giffey 24 2-5 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
P. Nolan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R.J. Evans 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter