Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Hornung * | 39 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Reinhardt * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Khem Birch * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Bennett * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Bryce Dejean-Jones * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Savon Goodman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mike Moser | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daquan Cook | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter