Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✗ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Bryant Allen * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ned Cox * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Adam Wing * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Colt Ryan * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 42 | - |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - |
| Troy Taylor * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Balentine | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Nelson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaylon Moore | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Lewis Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Sawvell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter