Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Borchert * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Fred Thomas | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Baxter Price | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Releford * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Trevor Lacey * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Rodney Cooper * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 33 | - |
| Levi Randolph * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Moussa Gueye * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nick Jacobs | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Retin Obasohan | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Devonta Pollard | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter