Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | -4.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. House Jr. * | 36 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Young * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| T. Thomas * | 27 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - |
| M. McLean * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. Womack | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J. Stiggers | 21 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Barnes | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Thompson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Richardson | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| V. Izundu | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Morris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Gibson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| G. Johnson * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Goodwin * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Crawford | 34 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 26 | - |
| T. Black | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| D. Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Hall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter