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2013-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 82.1% 17.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% -
Efficiency 83.7% 16.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% -
Log Adjusted 4.9% 95.1% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. House Jr. * 36 6-9 1-2 3-5 0 2 0 0 2 16 7 -
J. Young * 34 6-12 2-3 8-9 3 2 1 0 1 22 15 -
T. Thomas * 27 9-19 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 0 1 20 7 -
M. McLean * 18 0-2 0-0 1-4 5 1 0 0 0 1 5 -
T. Womack 28 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 4 2 0 0 3 9 -
J. Stiggers 21 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
L. Barnes 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
J.J. Thompson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
J.J. Richardson 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
V. Izundu 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Morris 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
L. Gibson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas * 36 8-17 0-3 6-7 8 3 0 0 1 22 15 -
D. Stephens * 31 6-7 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 2 1 14 20 -
J. Jackson * 30 3-6 0-1 5-6 1 6 0 0 4 11 8 -
G. Johnson * 26 2-6 0-3 2-2 5 2 1 0 4 6 4 -
S. Goodwin * 13 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 1 2 2 0 -
C. Crawford 34 3-9 3-7 2-2 13 9 0 3 1 11 26 -
T. Black 23 7-9 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 5 15 5 -
D. Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Hall 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter