Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| DeLovell Earls * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Green | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Max Yon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Cam Michael | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Mikey Thompson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter