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2013-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“
Margin 18.1% 81.9% +8.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“

Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +13 (65-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Smith * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 10 16 -
Gideon Gamble * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 7 13 -
Reggie King * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
James Bourne * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
Joab Jerome * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 15 16 -
Steve Johnson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 3 5 -
Christian Farmer 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 7 6 -
Shola Diop 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hartley * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 4 0 3 7 20 -
T. Strange * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 14 20 -
J. Hill * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 4 18 25 -
D. Harper * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 12 12 -
T. Newsome * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 4 11 -
I. Ivey 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
M. Landis 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
M. Byron 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Davis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
O. Branch 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter