Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watford * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Hulls * | 34 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Will Sheehey | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Derek Elston | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Remy Abell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Hollowell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hanner Mosquera-Perea | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maurice Creek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 25 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Matt Costello | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Travis Trice | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter