Model Predictions
| Model | Wyoming Cowboys | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +28 (79-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Adams | 35 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Gilmore | 34 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| L. Nance Jr. | 31 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Grabau | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| N. Sobey | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Haldorson | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Cooke Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Sellers | 9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. McManamen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bentz | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin | 29 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien | 28 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Tapley | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| X. Thames | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Shepard | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Spencer | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| D. Polee II | 18 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Stephens | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| N. Ebrahimian | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Douglas | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Staten | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter