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2013-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% -
Log Adjusted 5.2% 94.8% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +28 (79-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adams 35 2-9 0-1 2-4 2 2 2 0 2 6 1 -
D. Gilmore 34 6-14 2-8 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 15 7 -
L. Nance Jr. 31 1-4 1-1 1-2 0 1 1 1 1 4 2 -
R. Grabau 30 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 4 -1 -
N. Sobey 25 0-5 0-3 3-3 0 2 1 0 2 3 -1 -
A. Haldorson 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 3 -
D. Cooke Jr. 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
M. Sellers 9 5-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. McManamen 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bentz 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Franklin 29 6-7 2-2 6-7 7 2 0 1 1 20 22 -
J.J. O'Brien 28 5-8 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 10 9 -
C. Tapley 27 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 7 1 1 2 0 6 -
X. Thames 26 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 0 2 -
W. Shepard 22 4-5 0-1 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 12 12 -
S. Spencer 21 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 4 1 8 14 -
D. Polee II 18 6-8 3-5 1-1 5 0 0 0 3 16 10 -
D. Stephens 16 4-4 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 5 9 4 -
J. Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 -
N. Ebrahimian 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Douglas 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Staten 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter