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Alabama State Hornets 49
@
Southern Jaguars 58
2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Southern Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 12.6% 87.4% - ✓
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.3 ✓ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 14.9% 85.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 16.7% 83.3% - ✓

Actual: Southern Jaguars +9 (58-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Freelove 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 12 13 -
Denaell McDaniel 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 4 6 11 -
Luther Page 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 3 0 5 -
Phillip Crawford 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 1 1 22 35 -
Ryan Watts 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 5 9 -
Jamel Waters 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 2 9 -
Shawntez Patterson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
Jonathan Jefferson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derick Beltran 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 7 13 -
Malcolm Miller 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 13 23 -
Jameel Grace 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 24 27 -
Javan Mitchell 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 4 8 -
Yondarius Johnson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 3 10 -
Brandon Moore 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 2 8 -
Christopher Hyder 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
Cameron Monroe 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Madut Bol 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter