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2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 88.6% 11.4% -
Bradley-Terry 99.1% 0.9% -
Margin 87.7% 12.3% -10.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 70.2% 29.8% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Log Adjusted 95.7% 4.3% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -10 (61-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Bell Jr. * 34 3-7 1-4 2-3 4 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
K. Olynyk * 33 13-17 0-2 0-0 9 0 0 3 4 26 17 -
K. Pangos * 32 1-5 1-5 5-6 6 2 1 0 0 8 12 -
E. Harris * 31 7-15 0-0 3-5 13 1 1 0 5 17 12 -
M. Hart * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 2 9 -
D. Barham 23 2-5 1-4 2-2 5 0 0 2 1 7 8 -
S. Dower 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
D. Stockton 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Dranginis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
P. Karnowski 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin * 33 6-11 0-3 2-4 1 6 1 0 1 14 10 -
C. Dickerson * 32 6-12 3-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 15 8 -
D. Parker * 27 2-7 0-0 5-6 4 3 0 0 1 9 8 -
C. Adams * 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
A. Holmes 22 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
M. Tollefsen 19 2-5 1-4 1-2 3 1 0 2 1 6 6 -
F. Rogers 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Derksen 11 1-6 1-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
T. Xu 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Christiansen 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter