Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 26 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 30 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Thames | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| W. Shepard | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Spencer | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Polee II | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Marshall * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Khem Birch * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Anthony Bennett * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 36 | - |
| Bryce Dejean-Jones * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Katin Reinhardt * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Mike Moser | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Savon Goodman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daquan Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter