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2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 82.9% 17.1% -
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% -
Log Adjusted 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +20 (81-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jackson * 36 2-8 1-7 2-2 3 9 0 0 5 7 6 -
I. Austin * 31 4-8 1-2 4-5 6 0 1 0 3 13 9 -
B. Heslip * 31 4-7 4-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 12 3 -
A.J. Walton * 31 6-8 2-3 0-4 3 2 1 0 3 14 9 -
C. Jefferson * 26 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 1 6 7 -
R. Gathers 16 2-3 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
G. Franklin 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -
L.J. Rose 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bello 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Prince 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Neubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Lowery 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rodriguez * 38 7-15 3-8 5-5 5 10 3 0 2 22 23 -
S. Southwell * 37 6-12 6-9 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 18 15 -
J. Henriquez * 29 4-9 0-0 2-5 10 2 0 5 0 10 18 -
R. McGruder * 28 4-10 0-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
W. Spradling * 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 7 4 -
M. Irving 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
T. Gipson 10 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
O. Lawrence 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
A. Diaz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Meyer 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D.J. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Orris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Williams 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter