Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Davis * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Semaj Christon * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Travis Taylor * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jeff Robinson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Justin Martin * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Philmore | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Brad Redford | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Landen Amos | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Erik Stenger | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Vee Sanford * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Devon Scott * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Josh Benson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter