Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Thomas * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 12-18 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Darius Gatson * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Michael Holyfield * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Marquel McKinney * | 20 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Paul Baxter * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Will Bond | 23 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Terrance Motley | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Harwell | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nathaniel Mason | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy McKay | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Garner * | 36 | 5-18 | 0-7 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Robert Crawford * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| LaQuentin Miles * | 25 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 3-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Borden * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Oliver Wells * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Daouda Berete | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Harks | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| DeShone McClure | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Lenell Brown | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Terrell Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zach Padgett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter