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2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Alabama A&M Bulldogs Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 โœ— (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - โœ—

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Crutcher 40 2-7 1-2 0-1 4 7 0 0 5 5 4 -
Jose Long 40 2-5 0-1 2-5 6 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
Brandon Ellis 39 10-14 5-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 25 14 -
Demarquelle Tabb 36 8-13 0-0 4-6 14 2 0 2 0 20 25 -
Green Hill 25 2-8 0-4 8-10 3 3 2 0 1 12 11 -
Baryn Houston 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Justin Banks 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Anthony Lanier 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Tyler Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Justin Wagner 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marquis Baker 39 7-21 4-8 2-3 3 3 0 0 1 20 4 -
LeAntwan Luckett 32 7-13 1-1 3-6 5 0 1 0 1 18 10 -
Devonte Hampton 27 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Ian Francis 26 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 1 6 9 -
Anthony Nieves 23 4-17 0-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 10 -1 -
Michael Starks 19 2-5 0-0 2-4 5 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
Marius Myles 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Josh Nicholas 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Anthony Evans 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter