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2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Akron Zips Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“

Actual: Akron Zips +17 (67-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordon Crawford * 37 3-17 0-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 6 -6 -
Luke Kraus * 31 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 9 2 -
Chauncey Orr * 25 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Cameron Black * 12 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
A'uston Calhoun 29 5-10 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 1 2 11 4 -
Richaun Holmes 28 5-6 0-0 5-5 8 1 1 4 3 15 20 -
Jehvon Clarke 19 1-5 0-1 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
Craig Sealey 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
James Erger 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Anthony Henderson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Abreu * 32 4-10 1-5 4-4 6 4 0 1 1 13 13 -
Zeke Marshall * 30 4-13 0-0 7-7 9 1 1 3 0 15 16 -
Brian Walsh * 28 3-4 0-0 4-4 6 3 2 0 1 10 16 -
Demetrius Treadwell * 28 2-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 3 4 2 -
Nick Harney * 24 6-15 0-3 1-2 6 1 1 0 2 13 4 -
Jake Kretzer 22 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Pat Forsythe 10 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
Carmelo Betancourt 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Reggie McAdams 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Chauncey Gilliam 5 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
D. Ibitayo 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter