Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.2% | 18.8% | -8.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -3 (86-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 38 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 24 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Gerson Santo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 33 | 17-25 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 21 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| DeLovell Earls * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Green | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Yon | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter