Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +10 (60-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 38 | 2-10 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Mikey Thompson * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Snell * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Alex Kirk * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 23 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Chad Adams | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter