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2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 โœ— (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Henry Brooks * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 2 0 14 23 -
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 6 13 18 -
Tony Hicks * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 9 16 -
Camryn Crocker * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Greg Louis * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jamal Lewis 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 14 17 -
Darien Nelson-Henry 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 4 8 13 -
Patrick Lucas-Perry 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Cameron Gunter 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Dau Jok 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mitola * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 14 16 -
J. Golden * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 9 16 -
C. Boehm * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 11 18 -
G. Maldunas * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 3 2 19 32 -
T. Melville * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 1 2 2 6 -
M. Gill 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
M. LaBove 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Crescenzi 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. McDonnell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
T. Carpenter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter