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2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.4% 84.6% - โœ“
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.7 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +4 (90-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Green * 43 11-24 2-6 5-7 0 8 2 0 3 29 12 -
C. Raines * 35 3-11 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
R. Brown * 29 4-12 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 1 1 8 3 -
W. Johnston * 28 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
C.J. Barksdale * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Wood 31 5-10 4-9 0-0 16 1 0 1 2 14 20 -
J. Eddie 22 7-13 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 17 6 -
J. van Zegeren 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Rankin 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wood * 43 6-11 6-11 4-6 3 0 2 3 0 22 19 -
L. Brown * 42 4-11 0-4 7-8 4 7 3 0 6 15 12 -
R. Howell * 41 3-8 0-0 4-4 16 1 1 0 1 10 19 -
C.J. Leslie * 40 6-11 0-0 4-7 9 3 1 1 1 16 18 -
R. Purvis * 16 1-4 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
T.J. Warren 22 3-5 0-0 6-10 2 1 1 0 2 12 9 -
T. Lewis 21 3-5 1-2 6-6 1 0 0 0 0 13 9 -

* = starter