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2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 โœ“ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denton Koon * 39 3-6 0-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 4 -
T.J. Bray * 36 3-9 0-1 5-7 5 6 2 0 1 11 14 -
Ian Hummer * 36 7-14 0-0 4-4 7 2 1 1 3 18 12 -
Will Barrett * 34 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 11 4 -
Hans Brase * 29 3-10 1-2 3-3 7 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
Mack Darrow 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Brendan Connolly 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Clay Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Clement 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Chambers * 40 4-14 1-5 2-2 1 5 1 0 6 11 -2 -
C. Webster * 39 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 8 10 -
L. Rivard * 36 4-8 4-8 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 12 11 -
W. Saunders * 34 2-9 0-0 6-6 1 1 2 0 2 10 3 -
K. Smith * 20 5-5 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 6 1 14 21 -
S. Moundou-Missi 25 5-6 0-0 4-6 7 0 4 0 1 14 18 -
J. Travis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter