Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Northern Kentucky Norse | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Kentucky Norse -16 (46-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Miller * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Willie Green * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Adam Pegg * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Joel Naburgs * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Chris Perez * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Graham | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Liam McInerney | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dennis Diaz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leke Solanke | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J.R. Weston | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Jackson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Eshaunte Jones * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Ernest Watson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Ethan Faulkner * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| John Staley * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tyler White | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Todd Johnson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jack Flournoy | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Nate Snodgrass | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter