Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Marshall * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Nathan Scheer * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gavin Thurman * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Dorrian Williams | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Drew Wilson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Early * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T.J. Lindsay * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Daniels * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Desmar Jackson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Beane | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Davante Drinkard | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Pendleton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter