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2013-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.6% 94.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.5% 94.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson +19 (73-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 8 10 -
Tony Hicks * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 7 7 -
Jamal Lewis * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 2 -
Henry Brooks * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
Greg Louis * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 9 -
Patrick Lucas-Perry 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Camryn Crocker 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 3 7 -
Darien Nelson-Henry 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 14 20 -
Dau Jok 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Cameron Gunter 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 1 10 20 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wesley Saunders * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 3 0 5 23 30 -
Christian Webster * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 2 0 9 18 -
Siyani Chambers * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 3 5 14 -
Kenyatta Smith * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 10 3 20 37 -
Laurent Rivard * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 8 -
Steve Moundou-Missi 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 0 11 22 -
Jonah Travis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Alex Nesbitt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Evan Cummins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Agunwa Okolie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter