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2013-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Southern Eagles The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Margin 68.8% 31.2% -4.3 โœ“ (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% - โœ“

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -21 (57-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Southern Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Holmes * 35 4-10 3-3 0-0 5 5 1 0 6 11 6 -
Cleon Roberts * 34 7-9 4-6 2-2 2 3 3 0 0 20 19 -
C.J. Reed * 32 4-12 1-6 1-2 4 5 2 0 0 10 9 -
Cameron Baskerville * 17 3-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 1 0 8 11 -
Marvin Baynham * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Eric Ferguson 23 4-6 3-5 3-4 4 0 2 1 1 14 14 -
Tre Bussey 18 2-6 0-1 0-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Kameron Dunnican 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 4 4 -
Sam Mike 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Chris Daniels 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Cole Rives 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Horgan * 34 7-10 0-0 5-8 8 2 2 1 1 19 21 -
Marshall Harris * 34 3-7 1-4 3-6 1 4 1 0 3 10 6 -
Mike Groselle * 30 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 2 2 9 8 -
Ashton Moore * 19 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 0 0 -
Matt Van Scyoc 29 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
Raemond Robinson 21 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
Stephen Elmore 11 0-2 0-0 1-6 5 0 0 1 1 1 4 -
Dylen Setzekorn 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 4 1 -
Janeil Jenkins 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Quinton Marshall 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter