Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | -1.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -17 (60-77). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Pangos * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Gary Bell Jr. * | 31 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Elias Harris * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Mike Hart * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Sam Dower | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| David Stockton | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Dranginis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Drew Barham | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Przemek Karnowski | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova * | 38 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Stephen Holt * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Brad Waldow * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mitchell Young * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jorden Page * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Beau Levesque | 27 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Giusti | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| James Walker III | 15 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Kyle Rowley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter