Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 38 | 7-22 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 2 | - |
| Stacy Wilson * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 33 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Garrett * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jeffery Moss | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Erik McCree | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Messer * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Tim Johnson * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kris Davis * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Derian Shaffer * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Mark Yelovich * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Ray Lester | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Charles Joy | 15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter