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2013-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Appalachian State Mountaineers Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“

Actual: Elon Phoenix +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Neal * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 3 0 9 19 -
Nathan Healy * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 12 18 -
Jay Canty * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 3 17 26 -
Michael Obacha * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 7 13 -
Tab Hamilton * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Tevin Baskin 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
Jamaal Trice 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
Chris Burgess 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryley Beaumont * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 2 0 1 22 38 -
Sebastian Koch * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 1 11 21 -
Jack Isenbarger * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 16 23 -
Kevin Blake * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
Egheosa Edomwonyi * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Winters 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
Josh Bonney 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
Tony Sabato 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
John Moody 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter