Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsahn Basabe * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| D. Marble * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Aaron White * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Eric May | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marshall * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 28 | - |
| D.J. Newbill * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 38 | - |
| R. Travis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| N. Colella * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Taylor | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Graham | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wisniewski | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Montminy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter