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2013-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.7% 25.3% - โœ“
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 79.0% 21.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -4 (52-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jauwan Scaife * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 23 27 -
Chris Bond * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 9 17 -
Majok Majok * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 0 7 18 -
Zach Fields * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Marcus Posley 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 10 9 -
Matt Kamieniecki 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 7 13 -
Chase Brogna 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Bo Calhoun 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darrell Bowie * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 11 14 -
Abdel Nader * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 5 8 -
Travon Baker * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 1 6 16 -
K. Gray * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 4 14 -
Aksel Bolin * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 3 8 -
Antone Christian 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 14 18 -
K. Gray 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 11 -
Daveon Balls 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J.J. Cravatta 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Sam Mader 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter