Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Lemon * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Jake Eastman * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Will Egolf * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Tyshon Pickett * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Dyricus Simms-Edwards * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Prosser | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Crawford | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ka'Darryl Bell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Shayok | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Milos Knezevic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nate Wells | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mason Alwan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darrion Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 43 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 34 | - |
| Bryant Allen * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Stacho | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter