Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Pearson * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Brown * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Buckley * | 29 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Smith * | 26 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Boothe * | 22 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Player #65893 | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Holliday | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Player #61443 | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Wonnell | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Player #58741 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Watson * | 37 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Jarryn Skeete * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Auraum Nuiriankh * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Javon McCrea * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Will Regan * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Downing | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Corey Raley-Ross | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Xavier Ford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Richie Sebuharara | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre McPhail | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter