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2013-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% - โœ“
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 โœ“ (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Byrd * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 10 11 -
Terone Johnson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 18 20 -
Ronnie Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 2 0 5 9 18 -
A.J. Hammons * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 3 10 13 -
Donnie Hale * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
Rapheal Davis 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
Anthony Johnson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 2 7 -
Sandi Marcius 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 6 11 -
Travis Carroll 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jacob Lawson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Abrams * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 7 2 0 2 13 25 -
D.J. Richardson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 18 21 -
S. McLaurin * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 13 -
N. Egwu * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 12 -
B. Paul * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 3 6 -
J. Bertrand 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 0 2 9 20 -
T. Griffey 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 12 19 -
M. Henry 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
M. La Tulip 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Berardini 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
I. Djimde 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Langford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Shaw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter