Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +22 (93-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Calvin Newell * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Matt Williams | 10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Rod Days | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dylan Karell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geron Johnson * | 35 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Joe Jackson * | 33 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Adonis Thomas * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Stephens * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tarik Black | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 21 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Damien Wilson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ferrakohn Hall | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Cole | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Draper | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charles Holt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter