Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats +6 (92-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Cook * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Brian Neller * | 33 | 7-16 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Quentin Jones * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Satchell * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chase Plummer * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Joey Getz | 29 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Malik Garner | 25 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Morgan | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Wejnert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rhoads * | 42 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 8-12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Konan * | 41 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Chris Matagrano * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordon Bronner * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeron Trotman * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Scott Morris | 37 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ferg Myrick | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 7-12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Chris Pelcher | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Chris Orozco | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter