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Evansville Purple Aces 56
@
Southern Illinois Salukis 65
2013-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - ✓
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 ✓ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 67.7% 32.3% - ✗
Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 86.9% 13.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 87.6% 12.4% - ✗

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ryan * 39 7-15 5-9 2-2 4 1 0 1 2 21 10 -
T. Taylor * 32 4-9 0-0 2-2 5 4 4 0 3 10 11 -
N. Cox * 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 5 9 -
L. Jones * 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 7 3 -
E. Mockevicius * 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 4 5 -
D.J. Balentine 25 2-9 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 -2 -
R. Sawvell 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Moore 11 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
J. Nelson 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Wing 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brown-Surles * 34 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 3 0 4 5 -1 -
J. Early * 31 5-11 1-1 3-4 10 0 2 0 2 14 13 -
D. Jackson * 29 3-8 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 0 4 8 3 -
T.J. Lindsay * 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
T. Daniels * 23 4-6 0-0 1-4 6 0 2 0 0 9 11 -
A. Beane 26 2-4 2-4 6-8 2 1 1 0 2 12 10 -
J. Pendleton 17 3-6 1-3 5-10 3 1 0 0 3 12 7 -
D. Drinkard 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 2 6 -
C. Long 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter