Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Manny Arop * | 28 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| R.J. Mahurin * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Justin Gant * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Devonte Brown * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dawon Cummings | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Khristian Smith | 21 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lucas Eitel | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jake Kitchell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Burnett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Pickens * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Marshall * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Downing * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nathan Scheer * | 36 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gavin Thurman * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dorrian Williams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Drew Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter