Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +23 (75-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 30 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Mitch McGary * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Max Bielfeldt | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Morgan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jon Horford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eso Akunne | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Person | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Bartelstein | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 32 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 29 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Matt Costello | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bella Sibedwo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Emmett Dacey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter