๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +9 (66-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Smith * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 19 30 -
B. Venturini * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 14 16 -
W. Kelly * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 7 13 -
T. Dunbar * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 0 1 7 16 -
T. Wynn * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
P. Guglielmo 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
K. Alter 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
B. Wyatt 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. Smoot 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Alexander 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cullen Hamilton * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
Malcolm Miller * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 9 15 -
Dave Dudzinski * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 13 22 -
Justin Burrell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 14 19 -
Christopher Morgan * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Eric Obeysekere 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 6 15 -
Jordan Stevens 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 9 -
Dee Goens 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 6 14 -
Phil Beans 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 -

* = starter