Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 0 | 4-19 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. DeVaughn | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Pavlech | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -4 | - |
| T. Hawkins | 0 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Rutan | 0 | 5-15 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wells | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Williams | 0 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| A. Jones | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 13-14 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
* = starter