Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Talton * | 53 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 42 | - |
| Daniel Barnes * | 51 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 33 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Hayden Humes * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Kelley * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Marc Brown | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jake Wiegand | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Will Simonton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jay Parker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Snider | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Allen * | 54 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Kendrick Perry * | 51 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 36 | - |
| DJ Cole * | 47 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Damian Eargle * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Kamren Belin * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Shawn Amiker | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Weber | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Hain | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Chojnacki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter