Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.0% | 11.0% | -11.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -11 (57-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Deane | 0 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Hoover | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| S. MacKay | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| C. Sant | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Hudson | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Clark | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Strickland | 0 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| A. Corning | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Collins | 0 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| E. Rooney | 0 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 8 | - |
* = starter